Lee, there's a ~10% probability that you are incorrect about dying before age 97, when you wrote, "I am 67 and will probably be dead [30 years from now]."
Of course Lee's statement was true, he PROBABLY will be dead before 97 years old. That is, the probability is greater than 50%. The calculator I linked to suggests the probability is approximately 90%. But who knows what the future holds? I agree very much with the observation that so much has changed in the past 30 years, it stands to reason that so much more will change in the next 30 years. And yet so much will be the same too.
Interesting predictions Lee, I hope you are wrong and people in academia can figure our how negative DEI is to science and society and it stops instead of progressing to worse. Thanks for your great work on this topic
The people of the U.S. survived the Civil War and the Great Depression but the Republic did not. The Civil War destroyed the attempt to balance the powers of the States and the Federal Government in favor of the latter and the New Deal destroyed the doctrine of strictly enumerated powers. As a result, we now live in a dysfunctional unconstrained majoritarian democracy, which all of history tells us cannot survive past the point when the ruling elites fracture and the electorate comes to believe that they can live at the expense of others.
Lee, there's a ~10% probability that you are incorrect about dying before age 97, when you wrote, "I am 67 and will probably be dead [30 years from now]."
https://www.longevityillustrator.org/
Of course Lee's statement was true, he PROBABLY will be dead before 97 years old. That is, the probability is greater than 50%. The calculator I linked to suggests the probability is approximately 90%. But who knows what the future holds? I agree very much with the observation that so much has changed in the past 30 years, it stands to reason that so much more will change in the next 30 years. And yet so much will be the same too.
The left has two remarkable characteristics:
1-It always eats its young, and also not so young (I suspect this is a Cosmic limiting feature);
2-it never hesitates to arrogantly tell people how they must live their lives (very bad, and very much in evidence now).
Interesting predictions Lee, I hope you are wrong and people in academia can figure our how negative DEI is to science and society and it stops instead of progressing to worse. Thanks for your great work on this topic
The people of the U.S. survived the Civil War and the Great Depression but the Republic did not. The Civil War destroyed the attempt to balance the powers of the States and the Federal Government in favor of the latter and the New Deal destroyed the doctrine of strictly enumerated powers. As a result, we now live in a dysfunctional unconstrained majoritarian democracy, which all of history tells us cannot survive past the point when the ruling elites fracture and the electorate comes to believe that they can live at the expense of others.